Match Info
Serie D - Round 9Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Maricá |
|
Nova Iguaçu |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.31 |
2.75 |
3.35 |
|
 |
2.4 |
2.56 |
3.57 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.63 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.12 |
2.91 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.91 |
3.05 |
3.85 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(1.91) |
2.78 ↓
(3.05) |
3.49 ↓
(3.85) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maricá
41.2% | Draw
32.7% | Nova Iguaçu
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maricá's form might have worsened.Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maricá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-3.4%)Maricá - Nova Iguaçu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 88', 1 - 0, Pablo Thomaz ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 3.Maricá is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Nova Iguaçu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Maricá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Maricá might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Maricá won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Maricá won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
