Match Info

Capixaba - Round 8

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Olímpio da Rocha (Águia Branca)


	Noroeste		Porto Vitória

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.05	2.12
	3.27	2.85	2.23
	3.26	2.95	2.24	Watch
	3.25	2.8	2.2
	3.32	2.9	2.2
	3.33	3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	2.93 ↓ (3.15)	2.19 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Noroeste
27.7%

Draw
30.9%

Porto Vitória
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

28%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.8%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Noroeste - Porto Vitória Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Porto Vitória (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Noroeste (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Noroeste (votes: 1 - 50%). Porto Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovani (G) 10. Erlon 17. Guilherme Brito 7. Italo 5. Jaquison 2. Kauan 6. Lucas Silva 9. Marcelinho 8. Matheus Recife 22. Romulo 3. Sorriso	1. Rafael Mariano (G) 5. Gama 3. Joao Victor 2. Kellyton 8. Leo Baiano (C) 4. Lucas Peres 11. Luiz Henrique 7. Matheus Firmino 10. Renato Henrique 9. Victor Rangel 6. Wesllen Reis
Substitutes
11. Alexandre 12. Alexandre Castro (G) 16. Antonio Junior 14. Diego 13. Felipe Affonso 20. Heytor 15. Ismael 21. Jorge Eduardo 23. Mauricio 18. Murilo 19. Ribeiro S.	12. Aydhan Martins (G) 20. Cardoso K. 13. Ferrugem 21. Henrique Melo 18. Josue 14. Matheus Guedes 15. Matheus Santos 17. Miguel 19. Renie 25. Rian Felipe 22. Taleco 16. Thallyson

Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 0.

Noroeste has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Porto Vitória is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Porto Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Porto Vitória will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Noroeste won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
05.02.26	Noroeste - Desportiva Ferroviaria	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Noroeste	0:1 ✺
29.01.26	Noroeste - Vitória ES	0:4 ✺
26.01.26	Vilavelhense - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
22.01.26	Noroeste - Serra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWLLT
- Porto Vitória
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
03.02.26	Porto Vitória - Serra	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Porto Vitória	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco-VN	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Porto Vitória	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Porto Vitória - Forte Rio Bananal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
07.05.25	Noroeste - Porto Vitória	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
10.03.25	Noroeste - Porto Vitória	1:1
07.03.25	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	1:0
20.01.25	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	1:1
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
08.05.24	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	5:1
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
15.02.24	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	0:2
06.04.23	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	1:1 penalties

Noroeste - Porto Vitória: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide