Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Maricá U20		Volta Redonda U20

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.10	3.25
	1.92	3.10	3.45
	2.07	3.15	3.23
	2.09	3.21	3.31
	2.04	3.10	3.15
	1.89	3.48	3.78
	2.04	3.10	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.79)	3.18 ↓ (3.4)	3.35 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maricá U20
44.8%

Draw
28.3%

Volta Redonda U20
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

20.6%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maricá U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maricá U20's form might have worsened.

Volta Redonda U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá U20 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maricá U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda U20 than the current prediction. (+3%)

Maricá U20 - Volta Redonda U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 12th).

In recent outings, Maricá U20 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Volta Redonda U20 has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Maricá U20 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Maricá U20 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Marica U20	9	2	2	5	11:15	-4	8
12	Volta Redonda U20	9	1	2	6	7:18	-11	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maricá U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
19.09.26	Bangu U20 - Maricá U20	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Maricá U20 - Madureira U20	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Boavista SC U20 - Maricá U20	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Maricá U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Maricá U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTWT
- Volta Redonda U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
19.09.26	Volta Redonda U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Flamengo RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20	6:2 ✺
05.09.26	Volta Redonda U20 - Fluminense U20	0:1 ✺
27.08.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Volta Redonda U20	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Volta Redonda U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca U20
23.08.25	Volta Redonda U20 - Maricá U20	2:1

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