The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Volta Redonda U20 4.9%
Draw 13.3%
Vasco da Gama U20 81.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.1%
21.6%
65.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.9%
21.2%
66.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volta Redonda U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Volta Redonda U20's form might have worsened.
Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda U20 than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Volta Redonda U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Volta Redonda U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', (Penalty Awarded),
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 11th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
Volta Redonda U20 has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Vasco U20 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Volta Redonda U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Vasco U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Vasco U20 holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Volta Redonda U20 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:11 (averaging 1:3.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Volta Redonda U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:5 goals.