Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Mariglianese		Locri

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.25	1.68
	4.77	3.4	1.66
	4.44	3.3	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↑ (4.2)	3.32 ↑ (3.17)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariglianese
19.8%

Draw
27.2%

Locri
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

27.4%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

25.5%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Locri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Locri than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Mariglianese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Locri is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Locri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Locri is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Mariglianese
Italian Serie D - Group I
18.02.23	Castrovillari - Mariglianese	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Catania - Mariglianese	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Mariglianese - Vibonese	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Licata - Mariglianese	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Mariglianese - San Luca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLWLL
- AC Locri 1909
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.02.23	Locri - Catania	0:4 ✺
12.02.23	Vibonese - Locri	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Locri - Licata	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	San Luca - Locri	2:4 ✺
22.01.23	Locri - Ragusa	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW

Mariglianese - Locri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide