The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mariglianese 35.7%
Draw 30.8%
Nocerina 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
30.4%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
28.9%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mariglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariglianese than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).
Recent matches Mariglianese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nocerina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Mariglianese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Mariglianese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.