Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Virtus Matino		Nocerina

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.19	1.89
	3.78	3.34	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.19)	3.27 ↑ (2.99)	1.9 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Matino
24.3%

Draw
27.8%

Nocerina
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

29.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

29.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Matino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nocerina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Matino than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nocerina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Virtus Matino is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nocerina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Virtus Matino have a series of guest games.

Nocerina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Virtus Matino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Matino
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.04.22	Mariglianese - Virtus Matino	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Audace Cerignola - Virtus Matino	1:0 ✺
06.04.22	Bisceglie - Virtus Matino	1:2 ✺
03.04.22	Virtus Matino - Lavello	1:2 ✺
30.03.22	Nardo - Virtus Matino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWLT
- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.04.22	Nocerina - Nola	4:2 ✺
10.04.22	Lavello - Nocerina	0:0 ✺
03.04.22	Nocerina - Città di Fasano	0:2 ✺
30.03.22	Audace Cerignola - Nocerina	3:2 ✺
27.03.22	Nocerina - Molfetta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
08.12.21	Nocerina - Virtus Matino	2:1

Virtus Matino - Nocerina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide