Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 14

Date: 6 September 2023, Wednesday


	Marijampolė City		Riteriai 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.03	5.79	1.12
	7	4.2	1.33
	8.4	7.1	1.21
	1.57	4.1	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.5 ↑ (1.85)	5.3 ↑ (3.95)	2.07 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marijampolė City
18.6%

Draw
22.8%

Riteriai 2
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

23.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

22.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marijampolė City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marijampolė City's form might have worsened.

Riteriai 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Riteriai 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marijampolė City than the current prediction. (+32.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marijampolė City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riteriai 2 than the current prediction. (-32.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Riteriai 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Marijampolė City - Riteriai 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Marijampolė City will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Riteriai 2 will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marijampolė City: 50.6% – 100%.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: ) and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Marijampolė City is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marijampolė City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Marijampolė City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marijampolė City
Lithuanian Division 2
30.08.23	Marijampolė City - BFA Vilnius	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Ekranas - Marijampolė City	0:1 ✺
21.08.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Marijampolė City	6:0 ✺
14.08.23	Panevėžys 2 - Marijampolė City	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Marijampolė City - Garliava	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWLWL
- FK Riteriai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
31.08.23	Riteriai 2 - Minija Kretinga	3:0 ✺
27.08.23	Riteriai 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Riteriai 2 - Transinvest	1:2 ✺
14.08.23	Riteriai 2 - Jonava	3:0 ✺
06.08.23	Neptūnas - Riteriai 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
25.08.22	Marijampolė City - Riteriai 2	2:1

Marijampolė City - Riteriai 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide