Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 15

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday


	Marine		Workington

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	3.6
	1.8	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.81	4.1	3.57
	1.82	4.11	3.57
	1.67	3.8	4
	1.76	3.75	3.74
	1.8	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)	3.85 ↑ (3.76)	3.67 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine
51.5%

Draw
23.7%

Workington
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

23.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Workington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marine than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Workington than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Marine - Workington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marine won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Marine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Workington have a series of guest games.

In this match Marine is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Marine won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Marine won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
25.11.23	Worksop Town - Marine	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Marine - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Marine - Harrogate Town	1:5 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	St Ives Town - Marine	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
24.10.23	Guiseley - Marine	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTLLL
- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
25.11.23	Whitby Town - Workington	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Basford United - Workington	0:3 ✺
11.11.23	Guiseley - Workington	4:3 ✺
24.10.23	Marske United - Workington	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Workington - Gainsborough Trinity	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
23.02.19	Marine - Workington	0:2
25.09.18	Workington - Marine	1:1
03.10.17	Workington - Marine	2:1
15.08.17	Marine - Workington	2:0
07.03.17	Marine - Workington	0:1
08.11.16	Workington - Marine	4:0
06.02.16	Workington - Marine	1:0

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