Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Marine		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.8	3.75	3.6
	1.81	4.12	3.56
	1.82	4.12	3.56
	1.8	3.8	3.6
	1.76	3.78	3.72
	1.8	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)	3.85 ↑ (3.8)	3.58 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine
50.7%

Draw
23.7%

Ilkeston
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

24.2%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

22.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Marine - Ilkeston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marine won 2.

Recent matches Marine is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ilkeston is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ilkeston have a series of home games.

Marine will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Marine won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Marine won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
28.11.23	Marine - Workington	4:4 ✺
25.11.23	Worksop Town - Marine	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Marine - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Marine - Harrogate Town	1:5 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	St Ives Town - Marine	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWTLL
- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
28.11.23	Ilkeston - Guiseley	1:4 ✺
25.11.23	Ilkeston - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
21.11.23	Ilkeston - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
18.11.23	Morpeth Town - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
17.12.16	Ilkeston - Marine	1:2
05.11.16	Marine - Ilkeston	2:2
19.12.15	Ilkeston - Marine	0:0
19.09.15	Marine - Ilkeston	3:1
14.03.15	Marine - Ilkeston	1:2
29.09.14	Ilkeston - Marine	1:0
19.04.14	Marine - Ilkeston	2:3

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