Match Info

National League North - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Rossett Park (Crosby)


	Marine		Radcliffe

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	3.00
	2.00	3.30	3.00
	2.18	3.30	2.80
	2.11	3.53	3.32
	2.11	3.46	3.27	Watch
	2.08	3.35	3.25
	2.12	3.62	3.10
	2.06	3.40	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.22)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	3.11 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine
43.8%

Draw
26.7%

Radcliffe
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

24.8%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Marine - Radcliffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Newell G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, Newell G. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marine won 3.

Recent performances by Marine have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Radcliffe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Marine will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Marine won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Marine won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Marine: 0.73% Radcliffe: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Marine	10	4	0	6	12:12	0	12
24	Radcliffe	10	2	0	8	9:20	-11	6

Last Results with these Odds

Marine - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.84%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Radcliffe - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.36%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine FC
English National League North
22.08.26	King`s Lynn Town - Marine	1:4 ✺
18.08.26	Marine - Chorley	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Hereford - Marine	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Marine - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Marine - Colwyn Bay	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWW
- Radcliffe FC
English National League North
22.08.26	Radcliffe - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Hereford - Radcliffe	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Macclesfield Town - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Bury - Radcliffe	3:1 ✺
21.07.26	Radcliffe - Barrow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
20.01.26	Marine - Radcliffe	3:0
06.09.25	Radcliffe - Marine	4:1
22.02.25	Radcliffe - Marine	0:1
05.10.24	Marine - Radcliffe	1:0
English NPL Premier Division
17.02.24	Radcliffe - Marine	3:2
26.09.23	Marine - Radcliffe	3:2
04.02.23	Radcliffe - Marine	1:1

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