Match Info

Premier League

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Marines		Bugesera

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.82	3.35
	2.19	2.94	3.25
	2.21	2.98	3.34	Watch
	2.19	2.88	3.36
	2.2	2.9	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.07)	2.9 ↓ (3)	3.3 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marines
41.4%

Draw
31.2%

Bugesera
27.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

30.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

27%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marines than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Marines - Bugesera Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marines won 2.

Marines has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bugesera is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bugesera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marines will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Marines won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Marines won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marines FC
Rwanda Premier League
25.11.25	APR - Marines	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Marines - Gorilla	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Muhanga - Marines	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Marines - Rayon Sports	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Marines - Police	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLL
- Bugesera FC
Rwanda Premier League
27.11.25	Bugesera - Al-Merreikh	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Bugesera - Rutsiro	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Kiyovu Sports - Bugesera	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Gorilla - Bugesera	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Bugesera - Muhanga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
26.04.25	Bugesera - Marines	2:1
30.12.24	Marines - Bugesera	1:4
05.04.24	Marines - Bugesera	0:0
25.11.23	Bugesera - Marines	0:1
06.05.23	Marines - Bugesera	1:0
15.11.22	Bugesera - Marines	2:1
20.03.22	Bugesera - Marines	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marines FC
Rwanda Premier League
28.10.26	Marines - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	✺

Marines - Bugesera