Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 9

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday


	Maringá		São José-SP

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.6
	1.68	3.4	4.75
	1.68	3.21	4.76
	1.69	3.21	4.77
	1.67	3.4	4.92
	1.68	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.62)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	4.76 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
53.9%

Draw
27.1%

São José-SP
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

26.6%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

25.2%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

São José-SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Maringá - São José SP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Edison Negueba ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Iago Santana ⚽,
77', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

Maringá is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches São José-SP is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São José-SP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Maringá is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Maringá to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maringá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie D
12.06.24	Internacional de Limeira - Maringá	2:2 ✺
09.06.24	Maringá - Internacional de Limeira	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	São José-SP - Maringá	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Maringá - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	Patrocinense - Maringá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWTWW
- São José-SP
Brazilian Serie D
12.06.24	São José-SP - Patrocinense	6:0 ✺
08.06.24	Patrocinense - São José-SP	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	São José-SP - Maringá	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Água Santa - São José-SP	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	São José-SP - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
01.06.24	São José-SP - Maringá	1:1

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