Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 5

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday


	Maringá		Pouso Alegre

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	5.75
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.57	3.36	5.89
	1.57	3.36	5.89
	1.55	3.54	5.86
	1.57	3.6	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.82)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	5.73 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maringá
58.1%

Draw
26.1%

Pouso Alegre
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

27.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maringá's performance.

Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pouso Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maringá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pouso Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maringá - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Ronald ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Maringá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Maringá is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.24	Patrocinense - Maringá	1:2 ✺
12.05.24	Maringá - Costa Rica	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Água Santa - Maringá	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Maringá - Santo André	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
06.04.24	Athletico Paranaense - Maringá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWL
- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
19.05.24	Costa Rica - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Pouso Alegre - Patrocinense	4:1 ✺
04.05.24	Pouso Alegre - São José-SP	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Internacional de Limeira - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
28.03.24	Athletic Club - Pouso Alegre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL

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