Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 13

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sertanense		SB Castelo Branco

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.35
	2.95	2.95	2.39
	2.8	2.88	2.45
	3.09	2.93	2.31
	2.95	2.95	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.86)	2.92 ↓ (3)	2.38 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertanense
31%

Draw
31%

SB Castelo Branco
38%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Picarra G. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 0.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Sertanense won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.12.24	Alcains - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Sertanense - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Mortágua - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Sertanense - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Elvas - Sertanense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTTL
- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.12.24	SB Castelo Branco - União de Coimbra	6:1 ✺
08.12.24	Marinhense - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	SB Castelo Branco - Peniche	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Pombal - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Alcains - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.03.24	SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense	1:1
10.12.23	Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco	1:2
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco	1:1
13.11.22	SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense	1:1
06.03.22	Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco	1:1
12.12.21	SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense	0:3
12.02.21	SB Castelo Branco - Sertanense	4:3

Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco