The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marinhense 33.4%
Draw 32.8%
SB Castelo Branco 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
30.6%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
30.3%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-2%)
Marinhense - SB Castelo Branco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Marinhense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
Watch
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