Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 10

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal da Marinha Grande (Leiria)


	Marinhense		União da Serra

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.92	3
	2.29	2.88	3.1
	2.52	2.90	2.85	Watch
	2.3	2.91	3.09
	2.28	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.71)	2.89 ↓ (3.1)	3.03 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marinhense
38.8%

Draw
31.3%

União da Serra
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marinhense's performance.

União da Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União da Serra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Marinhense - União da Serra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Recent form of Marinhense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

União da Serra's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

União da Serra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Marinhense has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Marinhense
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.11.25	SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Marinhense - Eléctrico	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vitória de Sernache - Marinhense	4:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Anadia - Marinhense	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTLW
- União da Serra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.11.25	União da Serra - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	União da Serra - Lajense	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	SB Castelo Branco - União da Serra	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	União da Serra - Eléctrico	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Vitória de Sernache - União da Serra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.23	Marinhense - União da Serra	1:0
06.11.22	União da Serra - Marinhense	1:2

Marinhense - União da Serra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide