Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Marino		Santa Úrsula

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.6
	1.68	3.55	4.5
	1.64	3.3	4.25
	1.67	3.6	4.73	Watch
	1.73	3.67	4.55
	1.68	3.55	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	3.51 ↑ (3.46)	4.52 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino
54.1%

Draw
25.8%

Santa Úrsula
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.3%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

26.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Santa Úrsula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Úrsula than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Marino - Santa Úrsula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marino won 1.

Marino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Santa Úrsula is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Marino is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Marino won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:17 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Marino won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
31.01.25	Buzanada - Marino	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Marino	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Marino - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
11.01.25	Marino - Lanzarote	2:4 ✺
08.01.25	Marino - UD San Fernando	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLW
- CD Santa Úrsula
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
26.01.25	Lanzarote - Santa Úrsula	7:0 ✺
18.01.25	Santa Úrsula - Arucas	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Santa Úrsula - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
08.01.25	Santa Úrsula - Estrella	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Unión Viera - Santa Úrsula	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
28.09.24	Santa Úrsula - Marino	1:0
28.01.24	Marino - Santa Úrsula	3:1
09.09.23	Santa Úrsula - Marino	1:1
11.03.23	Santa Úrsula - Marino	1:0
06.11.22	Marino - Santa Úrsula	0:4
18.03.22	Marino - Santa Úrsula	3:1
06.11.21	Santa Úrsula - Marino	2:0

Marino - Santa Úrsula: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide