The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rayo Cantabria 34.4%
Draw 26.4%
Basconia 39.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.8%
26.4%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
25.5%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Cantabria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Rayo Cantabria - Basconia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Vallecillo A. ⚽,
60', 2 - 0, Crespo A. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Gomez X. ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, Jimenez G. ⚽,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 9th).
Rayo Cantabria is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Basconia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Cantabria has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rayo Cantabria against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Basconia
8
2
4
2
13:14
-1
10
17
Rayo Cantabria
8
1
2
5
10:17
-7
5
Last Results with these Odds
Basconia - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.8%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.