Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 2

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Ávila		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	2.12	2.82	3.5
	2.17	2.87	3.62
	2.19	2.98	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 (2.15)	2.87 ↓ (2.91)	3.5 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
42.3%

Draw
31.7%

Bergantiños
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

30.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Bergantiños have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Real Ávila - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Moreno C. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Perez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Real Ávila may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real Ávila could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real Ávila won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Real Ávila won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.09.25	Atlético Astorga - Real Ávila	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Real Ávila	4:0 ✺
20.08.25	Real Ávila - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Fuenlabrada - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
13.08.25	Real Ávila - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWTL
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.09.25	Bergantiños - Salamanca	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Arosa - Bergantiños	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Bergantiños - Ferrol	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.03.25	Real Ávila - Bergantiños	0:1
26.10.24	Bergantiños - Real Ávila	2:1

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