Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: BGL Ligue - Round 24

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Marisca Mersch		F91 Dudelange

	1	X	2
	6	4.4	1.38
	6.41	4.6	1.43
	6.46	4.72	1.42
	6.44	4.62	1.41
	6.2	4.6	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.3 ↑ (6.02)	4.59 ↑ (4.56)	1.41 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marisca Mersch
14.6%

Draw
20%

F91 Dudelange
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

20.2%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

19.7%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marisca Mersch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

F91 Dudelange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marisca Mersch than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for F91 Dudelange than the current prediction. (+1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Moussaki H. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
50', 0 - 2, Hadji S. ⚽,
53', 1 - 2, Bresch B. (Pen),
55', 1 - 3, Hadji S. ⚽, Moussaki H. (A),
64', 2 - 3, Varela J. ⚽, Ferretti G. (A),
74', 3 - 3, Bresch B. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 4, Moussaki H. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Marisca Mersch is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches F91 Dudelange is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match F91 Dudelange is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marisca Mersch won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marisca Mersch
Luxembourg National Division
07.04.24	Differdange 03 - Marisca Mersch	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Marisca Mersch - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:4 ✺
17.03.24	Käerjéng 97 - Marisca Mersch	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Marisca Mersch - Mondercange	2:1 ✺
06.03.24	Marisca Mersch - Fola Esch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- F91 Dudelange
Luxembourg National Division
07.04.24	F91 Dudelange - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen	4:3 ✺
16.03.24	Differdange 03 - F91 Dudelange	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	F91 Dudelange - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Käerjéng 97 - F91 Dudelange	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
22.10.23	F91 Dudelange - Marisca Mersch	1:0

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