Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 9

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Jos Nosbaum (Dudelange)


	F91 Dudelange		Jeunesse Esch

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.23	5.26
	1.5	3.98	5.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.39)	4.11 ↓ (4.54)	5.4 ↓ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

F91 Dudelange
60.5%

Draw
22.5%

Jeunesse Esch
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.2%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

19.6%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

F91 Dudelange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that F91 Dudelange's form might have worsened.

Jeunesse Esch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for F91 Dudelange than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for F91 Dudelange, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

F91 Dudelange - Jeunesse Esch Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - F91 Dudelange (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - F91 Dudelange (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - F91 Dudelange (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. F91 Dudelange (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Guessan M. (G) 77. Agostinho 10. Benkhedim B. 3. Delorge K. 23. Gavioli I. 24. Kirch M. (C) 8. Monteiro D. 22. Morren C. 14. Pianelli-Balisoni A. 7. Rotundo E. 33. Stumpf C.	1. Sommer K. (G) 6. Andrade Brites C. 5. Belgacem J. 2. Borger M. 90. Elshan L. 19. Flick T. 18. Lapierre E. 24. Mancini T. 77. Omosanya M. 17. Teixeira J. 4. Todorovic M. (C)
Substitutes
44. Aussi A. 80. Dinho 12. Ekeberg O. F. 6. Englaro I. 5. Neamtiu T. 25. Novalic D. (G) 20. Tallarico V.	14. Andrade D. 45. de Sousa A. 22. Diallo O. 16. Englaro S. (G) 92. Klisurica R. 99. Moreira R. 23. Scholler A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Agostinho ⚽, Kirch M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Rotundo E. ⚽, Kirch M. (A),
49', 🟥,
55', 3 - 0, Delorge K. ⚽, Benkhedim B. (A),
58', 4 - 0, Benkhedim B. ⚽,
63', Delorge K. ↓, Tallarico V. ↑,
63', Gavioli I. ↓, Englaro I. ↑,
66', Flick T. ↓, Andrade D. ↑,
72', Todorovic M. 🟨,
76', Omosanya M. ↓, de Sousa A. ↑,
76', Mancini T. ↓, Diallo O. ↑,
78', Rotundo E. ↓, Ekeberg O. F. ↑,
78', Benkhedim B. ↓, Neamtiu T. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, F91 Dudelange won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, F91 Dudelange is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, F91 Dudelange won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, F91 Dudelange won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- F91 Dudelange
Luxembourg National Division
01.10.25	F91 Dudelange - Jeunesse Canach	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Differdange 03 - F91 Dudelange	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	F91 Dudelange - Rodange	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	F91 Dudelange - Racing Luxembourg	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Mamer - F91 Dudelange	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWTW
- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
01.10.25	Jeunesse Esch - Differdange 03	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Jeunesse Canach - Jeunesse Esch	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Jeunesse Esch - Rodange	4:0 ✺
24.08.25	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Esch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
18.05.25	Jeunesse Esch - F91 Dudelange	2:0
07.12.24	F91 Dudelange - Jeunesse Esch	1:1
07.04.24	F91 Dudelange - Jeunesse Esch	1:1
08.10.23	Jeunesse Esch - F91 Dudelange	1:2
21.05.23	Jeunesse Esch - F91 Dudelange	4:2
08.08.22	F91 Dudelange - Jeunesse Esch	5:0
13.02.22	F91 Dudelange - Jeunesse Esch	1:0

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