Match Info

efbet League - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Druzhba (Dobrich)

Referee: Chinkov V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 3


	Dobrudzha Dobrich		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.01	3.34	3.61	Watch
	2.08	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.18)	3.34 ↑ (3.08)	3.65 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dobrudzha Dobrich
46.7%

Draw
27.8%

Spartak Varna
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

30%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.2%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dobrudzha Dobrich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dobrudzha Dobrich than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Dobrudzha Dobrich - Spartak Varna Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dobrudzha Dobrich will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Spartak Varna will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dobrudzha Dobrich: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dobrudzha Dobrich (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Spartak Varna (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Grigorov G. (G) 15. Kostov B. 3. Pirgov D. (C) 37. Kerchev V. 77. Matheus Leoni 23. Fall M. 35. Lovric D. 8. Cardoso L. 82. Costa Silva T. 31. Dimitrov A. 98. Mihaylov I.	23. Kovalyov M. (G) 50. Budinov I. 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 44. Granchov A. (C) 19. Yanchev E. 88. Yordanov D. 17. Marinov T. 8. Ivanov D. 7. Berna 21. Xande 90. Stojanovski G.
Substitutes
9. Angelov M. 10. Appiah A. 1. Argilashki G. (G) 45. Hasan D. 22. Hurtado J. 7. Ivanov A. 88. Madaleno D. 6. Puerto A. 27. Triki M.	77. Aleksandrov A. 4. Aleksiev I. 11. Georgiev A. 9. Halachev D. 39. Kurbanov K. 13. Millimono T. 18. Moukachar S. 6. Pehlivanov Z. 1. Shalamanov-Trenkov I. (G)
Coaches
Atanasov A.	Hadzievski G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Yordanov D. 🟨,
27', Kerchev V. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Costa Silva T. ⚽, Matheus Leoni (A),
42', Dimitrov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dimitrov A. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
46', Budinov I. ↓, Georgiev A. ↑,
66', Lovric D. ↓, Triki M. ↑,
70', Cardoso L. 🟨,
72', Kostov B. 🟨,
76', Stojanovski G. 🟨,
79', 2 - 0, Mihaylov I. ⚽, Cardoso L. (A),
84', Marinov T. ↓, Pehlivanov Z. ↑,
84', Ivanov D. ↓, Halachev D. ↑,
84', Yordanov D. ↓, Moukachar S. ↑,
90+2', Costa Silva T. ↓, Hasan D. ↑,
90+4', Mihaylov I. ↓, Angelov M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).

Dobrudzha Dobrich is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spartak Varna is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dobrudzha Dobrich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dobrudzha Dobrich could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dobrudzha Dobrich won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dobrudzha Dobrich won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgarian Cup
28.10.25	Bdin Vidin - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:7 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.10.25	Levski Sofia - Dobrudzha Dobrich	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - CSKA Sofia	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Arda Kardzhali	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Cup
28.10.25	Yambol - Spartak Varna	1:3 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.25	Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Spartak Varna - Slavia Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.3 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.07.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Spartak Varna	2:1
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.04.24	Spartak Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1
28.09.23	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Spartak Varna	2:0
13.03.22	Spartak Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:2
28.08.21	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Spartak Varna	1:1

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