Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 28

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Maritsa Plovdiv		Septemvri Sofia

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.89	3.17	1.97	Watch
	3.65	3.35	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (3.89)	3.26 ↑ (3.17)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maritsa Plovdiv
24.6%

Draw
28.1%

Septemvri Sofia
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

29.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

28.4%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maritsa Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maritsa Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (+1%)

Maritsa Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
86. Nikolov I. (G) 29. Angelov Y. 5. Avramov D. 15. Dimitrov H. 23. James S. 21. Malamov S. 10. Marchev V. (C) 28. Shterev S. 13. Tanchev M. 4. Tasholov A. 18. Trifonov G.	21. Sheytanov D. (C) 4. Arsov I. 14. Da Sylva J. 15. Dinkov G. 24. Marinov B. 6. Ochayi V. 18. Onasci K. 10. Ramadan A. 7. Stojanov M. 9. Toshev M. 13. Yordanov Y.
Substitutes
11. Aliev O. 16. Andreev T. 24. David I. 17. Domovchiyski V. 19. Gaziev M. 33. Nachev P. (G) 26. Petkov V. (G) 30. Sirakov S.	20. Drosev N. G. 23. Gavrilov Y. 17. Georgiev P. 1. Iliev I. (G) 22. Kerkez S. 16. Mihalic J. 11. Mihaylov I. 19. Mitkov M. 3. Polendakov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Ochayi V. ⚽,
57', 0 - 2, ⚽,
59', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Maritsa Plovdiv is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Septemvri Sofia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maritsa Plovdiv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Septemvri Sofia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Maritsa Plovdiv won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Maritsa Plovdiv won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
06.04.24	Dunav Ruse - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Marek Dupnitsa - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Belasitsa Petrich - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Maritsa Plovdiv - Bdin Vidin	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.04.24	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Belasitsa Petrich - Septemvri Sofia	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Septemvri Sofia - Bdin Vidin	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Chernomorets Burgas - Septemvri Sofia	1:1 ✺
04.03.24	Septemvri Sofia - Yantra Gabrovo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.09.23	Septemvri Sofia - Maritsa Plovdiv	3:1
25.02.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia	1:1
13.08.21	Septemvri Sofia - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:2

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