Match Info

efbet League - Relegation Group - Round 35

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Dragalevtsi (Sofia)

Referee: Grebencharski M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Septemvri Sofia		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.05
	1.95	3.41	4.27
	1.91	3.3	4.21	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.92	3.34	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.78)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	4.08 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Septemvri Sofia
49.3%

Draw
28%

Spartak Varna
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.4%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

26.6%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Septemvri Sofia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Georgiev Y. (G) 23. Schouten R. 4. Hristov M. 26. Ozornwafor V. 30. Stamatov M. 5. Baurenski Y. 18. Abou A. 17. Fontaine N. 33. Ivanov G. (C) 28. Stoichkov S. 9. Fourrier B.	1. Ribeiro P. (G) 20. Lozev D. (C) 44. Granchov A. 5. Krastev D. 2. Ivanov B. 6. John E. 88. Yordanov D. 10. Jota Lopes 29. Tailson 21. Xande 9. Chunchukov T.
Substitutes
29. Herard F. 19. Ivkic D. 8. Kolev K. 12. Krastev N. (G) 7. Ribeiro E. 10. Stojanovic S. 20. Tomovski B. 27. Varbanov G. 3. Wade S.	50. Georgiev M. 8. Ivanov D. 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 23. Kovalyov M. (G) 39. Kurbanov K. 18. Moukachar S. 7. Prindzhev P.
Coaches
Arangelov H.	Hadzievski G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Fourrier B. ⚽, Fontaine N. (A),
15', Ozornwafor V. 🟨,
35', Lozev D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Ivanov G. ↓, Ribeiro E. ↑,
60', Stoichkov S. ↓, Ivkic D. ↑,
62', Krastev D. 🟨,
71', Jota Lopes ↓, Prindzhev P. ↑,
78', Abou A. ↓, Wade S. ↑,
78', Fontaine N. ↓, Kolev K. ↑,
80', Ivanov B. ↓, Moukachar S. ↑,
80', Tailson ↓, Ivanov D. ↑,
82', Stamatov M. 🟨,
84', Ivkic D. 🟨,
89', John E. ↓, Juric-Petrasilo M. ↑,
90', Ribeiro E. 🟨,
90+1', Georgiev Y. 🟨,
90+2', Granchov A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Septemvri Sofia is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Spartak Varna: 0.16% Septemvri Sofia: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10:15	-5	10
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8:18	-10	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.05.26	Botev Vratsa - Septemvri Sofia	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Slavia Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Septemvri Sofia - Montana	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	1:1 ✺
16.04.26	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLTTT
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.05.26	Spartak Varna - Slavia Sofia	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Spartak Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Botev Vratsa - Spartak Varna	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Spartak Varna - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.04.26	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:0
07.11.25	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia	1:4
16.03.25	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia	4:2
30.09.24	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:1
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.04.24	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:2
24.09.23	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia	1:2
Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.05.23	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia	1:0

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