The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Marsa 37.5%
Draw 32.8%
Bizertin 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
31.8%
29.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
31.5%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Bizertin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bizertin than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Marsa - Bizertin Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Marsa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Marsa (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Bizertin (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Marsa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bizertin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Abessi B. (G) 21. Adejoh O. 5. Arfaoui Y. 28. Ben Hamida A. 2. Chaouch M. 15. Gneba R. 9. Hadhri A. 17. Jebali O. 6. Karoui O. 27. Khaloui M. 11. Traidi O.
22. Maktouf Y. (G) 24. Allela M. 26. Ben Jaballah A. 8. Cissoko I. 18. Diop M. 21. Fonseca B. 31. Gasmi M. 33. Mbaye M. 17. Midani I. 4. Rehimi R. 11. Timi W.
Substitutes
1. Aziz Telli M. 25. El Islem T. 7. Hammami K. 3. Hichri H. 30. Kalu G. 24. Kassi M. 29. Neji F. 19. Zouari Y.
9. Amri A. 3. Azib Y. 10. Ben Othman F. 29. Berrima Z. 2. Bougatfa F. 14. Dridi A. 19. Fellahi Y. 30. Mouelhi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', Mbaye M. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Arfaoui Y. ⚽,
26', Ben Hamida A. ↓, Kalu G. ↑,
34', Ben Jaballah A. 🟥,
41', Mbaye M. ↓, Bougatfa F. ↑,
45+2', 2 - 0, Hadhri A. ⚽, Adejoh O. (A),
45+6', Chaouch M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Midani I. ↓, Dridi A. ↑,
46', Diop M. ↓, Berrima Z. ↑,
59', Gneba R. ↓, Zouari Y. ↑,
59', Traidi O. ↓, Neji F. ↑,
60', Cissoko I. ↓, Amri A. ↑,
61', Timi W. ↓, Fellahi Y. ↑,
78', Adejoh O. ↓, El Islem T. ↑,
78', Hadhri A. ↓, Kassi M. ↑,
89', 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 0.
Recent form of Marsa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bizertin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Marsa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.6:0.7).