Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium (Zarzis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport, Watania 2


	Zarzis		Marsa

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	4.75
	1.67	3.57	4.71	Watch
	1.79	3.02	4.71	Watch
	1.76	3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)	3.15 ↓ (3.57)	4.73 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarzis
52%

Draw
28.8%

Marsa
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

25.7%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

25%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarzis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarzis than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Zarzis - Marsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Charfi S. (G) 10. Coumbassa O. 20. Diallo P. 35. Ghouma F. 13. Kassab K. 6. Khalfa K. 33. Mahersi G. 29. Rahmani M. 28. Rjili L. 17. Stanley O. 27. Tajourii A.	16. Abessi B. (G) 21. Adejoh O. 5. Arfaoui Y. 2. Chaouch M. 14. El Islem T. 15. Gneba R. 17. Jebali O. 30. Kalu G. 24. Kassi M. 29. Neji F. 19. Zouari Y.
Substitutes
25. Bede E. 7. Ben Dhiaf A. 5. Chouchane M. 32. Ghanmi H. (G) 21. Ifi J. 11. Jertila M. 15. Labidi Z. 24. Mokhtar B. 19. Nshuti I.	1. Aziz Telli M. 28. Ben Hamida A. 8. Guesmi A. 9. Hadhri A. 7. Hammami K. 3. Hichri H. 6. Karoui O. 27. Khaloui M. 11. Traidi O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Arfaoui Y. 🟨,
38', Coumbassa O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kassab K. ↓, Jertila M. ↑,
46', Rjili L. ↓, Mokhtar B. ↑,
46', Zouari Y. ↓, Traidi O. ↑,
66', Chaouch M. 🟨,
70', Stanley O. ↓, Nshuti I. ↑,
70', Tajourii A. ↓, Ben Dhiaf A. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zarzis won 1.

Zarzis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Marsa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Zarzis is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zarzis won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zarzis won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Zarzis
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
26.10.25	Olympique Béja - Zarzis	0:3 ✺
22.10.25	Zarzis - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Stade Tunisien - Zarzis	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Zarzis - Soliman	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	JS Kairouan - Zarzis	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTLLW
- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
29.10.25	Marsa - Étoile du Sahel	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Marsa - Métlaoui	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Olympique Béja - Marsa	0:6 ✺
01.10.25	Marsa - Espérance ST	0:3 ✺
24.09.25	Stade Tunisien - Marsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
16.04.17	Marsa - Zarzis	2:0
03.03.17	Zarzis - Marsa	3:2
21.02.16	Marsa - Zarzis	2:0
20.09.15	Zarzis - Marsa	0:0
05.04.15	Marsa - Zarzis	3:0
19.10.14	Zarzis - Marsa	1:1
09.03.13	Marsa - Zarzis	1:1

Zarzis - Marsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide