Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Abdelaziz Chtioui Stadium (La Marsa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Marsa		Étoile du Sahel

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.80	2.15
	3.20	2.95	2.15
	3.45	2.92	2.24
	3.48	2.97	2.16	Watch
	3.50	2.75	2.20
	3.47	3.05	2.21	Watch
	3.40	2.95	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.99)	2.91 ↓ (2.96)	2.17 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
26.8%

Draw
31.3%

Étoile du Sahel
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

31.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Étoile du Sahel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Marsa - Étoile du Sahel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ben Cherifia H. (G) 21. Adejoh O. . Aifia F. 5. Bahri O. 2. Chaouch M. 15. Gneba R. 10. Hamrouni M. 17. Jebali O. 34. Kechiche M. 27. Khaloui M. 18. Mani N.	16. Ben Hessen S. (G) 10. Amri A. 30. Anane R. 7. Ben Dhiaf A. 9. Chaabani M. 15. Diakhate O. 25. Diarra B. 27. Ghouma A. 2. Kechrida W. 5. Lanquetin P. 6. Ochigbo A.
Substitutes
. Abdulwadud A. . Ayari H. . Ben Brik A. . Boukhris Y. . Gasmi A. . Mejri O. . Traidi A. . Traidi M. . Victorino Polaco	8. Abid O. 19. Bouslama M. 11. Fajari A. 34. Gara R. 36. Gazzeh R. (G) 3. Grira A. 26. Hassine M. 18. Rjab Y. 13. Zorgati A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Mani N. ⚽,
45+5', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 0.

Étoile du Sahel might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 2:16. (average 0.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Etoile Sahel	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
11	AS Marsa	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4

Last Results with these Odds

Étoile du Sahel - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
06.09.26	Espérance ST - Marsa	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Marsa - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	0:0 ✺
12.05.26	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Marsa	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Marsa - Sfaxien	0:3 ✺
04.05.26	Bizertin - Marsa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTTLW
- Étoile du Sahel
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
06.09.26	Étoile du Sahel - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Étoile du Sahel - Métlaoui	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Sfaxien - Étoile du Sahel	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Étoile du Sahel - Bizertin	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Zarzis - Étoile du Sahel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
25.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Marsa	1:0
29.10.25	Marsa - Étoile du Sahel	0:2
12.06.16	Marsa - Étoile du Sahel	0:3
06.01.16	Étoile du Sahel - Marsa	3:0
12.05.15	Marsa - Étoile du Sahel	1:3
24.12.14	Étoile du Sahel - Marsa	2:0
09.02.14	Marsa - Étoile du Sahel	1:2

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