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Current Win Probability
Marsa 15.1%
Draw 26.6%
Espérance ST 58.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.6%
28%
54.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.3%
27.5%
55.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
Marsa - Espérance ST Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Espérance ST will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Espérance ST will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Helal S. (G) 21. Adejoh O. 5. Arfaoui Y. 2. Chaouch M. 15. Gneba R. 9. Hadhri A. 17. Jebali O. 10. Jouini A. 6. Karoui O. 27. Khaloui M. 11. Traidi O.
32. Ben Said B. (G) 11. Belaili Y. 2. Ben Ali M. 22. Danho F. 27. Guenichi K. 31. Jebali C. 6. Jelassi H. 12. Laifi N. 8. Tka H. 15. Tougai M. 10. Yan Sasse
Substitutes
1. Abessi B. (G) 4. El Islem T. 7. Hammami K. 3. Hichri H. 30. Kalu G. 24. Kassi M. 29. Neji F. 13. Traidi M. 19. Zouari Y.
7. Boualia K. 33. Bouassida A. 13. Bouchniba R. 17. Dhaou H. 19. Jabri A. 35. Koudhai A. 30. Maacha K. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 14. Ogbelu O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Danho F. 🟨,
44', Belaili Y. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Tougai M. ⚽, Jelassi H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', Yan Sasse ↓, Ogbelu O. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Danho F. ⚽,
69', Traidi O. ↓, Neji F. ↑,
69', Khaloui M. ↓, Kalu G. ↑,
74', Jebali C. ↓, Jabri A. ↑,
74', Danho F. ↓, Boualia K. ↑,
86', Hadhri A. ↓, Kassi M. ↑,
90+2', Belaili Y. ↓, Koudhai A. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Jabri A. ⚽, Guenichi K. (A),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 0.
Recent form of Marsa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Espérance ST is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Espérance ST may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Espérance ST has had a series of home games.
In this match, Espérance ST is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).