Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 30

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stade Chedly Zouiten (Tunis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane		Marsa

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.68	3.15
	2.1	3.25	3.1
	1.60	3.73	5.31	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.18	3.05	3.17
	2.35	2.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.35)	3.06 ↑ (2.75)	3.52 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
43.6%

Draw
30.2%

Marsa
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

33%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

32.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Marsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. JS Omrane will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Marsa will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for JS Omrane: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	23. Helal S. (G)
	21. Adejoh O.
	5. Arfaoui Y. (C)
	28. Ben Hamida A.
	2. Chaouch M.
	25. Dao Y.
	15. Gneba R.
	17. Jebali O.
	27. Khaloui M.
	6. Mestari S.
	11. Traidi O.
Substitutes
	10. Aifia F.
	31. Aziz Telli M.
	8. Guesmi A.
	7. Hammami K.
	3. Hichri H.
	14. Msallem H.
	29. Neji F.
	1. Soltani A. (G)
	26. Victorino Polaco

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Mahdouani F. ⚽,
14', 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Dao Y. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 2, Arfaoui Y. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Zoughlami C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

JS Omrane has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marsa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

JS Omrane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

JS Omrane will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, JS Omrane won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	JS Omrane	4	2	1	1	5:4	1	7
11	AS Marsa	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
08.05.26	Olympique Béja - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Espérance ST	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	Stade Tunisien - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Soliman	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	JS Kairouan - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWLL
- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
09.05.26	Marsa - Sfaxien	0:3 ✺
04.05.26	Bizertin - Marsa	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Marsa - Zarzis	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Marsa	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Métlaoui - Marsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
22.11.25	Marsa - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	2:1

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Marsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide