Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Marsa		Lija Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.45
	2.4	3.42	2.55
	2.35	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.37)	3.47 ↓ (3.54)	2.5 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
38.2%

Draw
25.9%

Lija Athletic
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.6%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26.1%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Lija could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Marsa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Marsa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
24.10.23	Fgura United - Marsa	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Marsa - Melita	3:3 ✺
01.10.23	Swieqi United - Marsa	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Marsa - Senglea Athletic	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Zejtun Corinthians - Marsa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTWT
- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
25.10.23	Lija Athletic - Msida Saint-Joseph	3:2 ✺
22.10.23	Pietà Hotspurs - Lija Athletic	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	St. Andrews - Lija Athletic	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Lija Athletic - Luqa St. Andrews	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
28.01.23	Lija Athletic - Marsa	0:1
03.11.22	Lija Athletic - Marsa	0:2
02.04.19	Lija Athletic - Marsa	4:1
25.11.18	Marsa - Lija Athletic	0:3

Marsa - Lija Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide