Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue 2 - Round 19

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Marsa		Menzel Bourguiba

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.1	9
	1.23	4.5	15
				Watch
	1.25	4.45	13.5
	1.23	4.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.39)	4.39 ↑ (3.9)	13.13 ↑ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
72.3%

Draw
20.7%

Menzel Bourguiba
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

23.2%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

22.8%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsa's performance.

Menzel Bourguiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Menzel Bourguiba than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Marsa - Menzel Bourguiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Gharbia M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
84', 2 - 0, Ben Hamida A. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, Traidi O. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Menzel Bourguiba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marsa is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue 2
08.03.25	Hammam-Sousse - Marsa	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Marsa - Moknine	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Jendouba Sport - Marsa	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Marsa - Hammam-Lif	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Marsa - Oued Ellil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLTW
- Menzel Bourguiba
Tunisian Ligue 2
09.03.25	Menzel Bourguiba - Oued Ellil	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Mégrine - Menzel Bourguiba	6:0 ✺
23.02.25	Menzel Bourguiba - El Makarem de Mahdia	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Menzel Bourguiba - Hammam-Sousse	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Moknine - Menzel Bourguiba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWTT

Marsa - Menzel Bourguiba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide