Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 27

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Marsa		Zarzis

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	2.95
	2.18	2.92	3.25
	2.04	3.18	4.08
	2.2	2.97	3.39	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	1.98	2.98	4.36
	2.25	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.25)	2.94 ↑ (2.8)	3.52 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
42.8%

Draw
31.2%

Zarzis
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

32.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Zarzis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarzis than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Marsa - Zarzis Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Marsa will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Zarzis will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marsa: 76.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Helal S. (G) 21. Adejoh O. . Aifia F. 5. Arfaoui Y. 28. Ben Hamida A. 2. Chaouch M. 25. Dao Y. 15. Gneba R. 17. Jebali O. 27. Khaloui M. 6. Mestari S.	1. Taleb H. (G) 5. Chouchane M. 18. Dhiflaoui Y. 35. Ghouma F. 11. Jertila M. 13. Kassab K. 6. Khalfa K. 33. Mahersi G. . Oluwaseun A. 28. Rjili L. 3. Yassine A. M.
Substitutes
30. Aziz Telli M. 7. Hammami K. 3. Hichri H. 24. Mansour H. 14. Msallem H. 29. Neji F. 1. Soltani A. (G) 11. Traidi O. 26. Victorino Polaco	7. Ben Dhiaf A. . Boubakar 10. Garreb A. 32. Ghanmi H. (G) . Kilani J. 92. Nyengue D. 29. Rahmani M. 27. Tajourii A. 24. Zidi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Dao Y. ⚽,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2.

Recent form of Marsa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zarzis is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zarzis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Marsa has had a series of away games.

Marsa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	AS Marsa	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4
12	Zarzis	4	1	0	3	3:5	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
25.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Marsa	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Métlaoui - Marsa	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Marsa - Olympique Béja	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
22.03.26	Bizertin - Marsa	3:2 penalties ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
07.03.26	Espérance ST - Marsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- ES Zarzis
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
26.04.26	Zarzis - Olympique Béja	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Espérance ST - Zarzis	2:2 ✺
Tunisian Cup
19.04.26	Monastir - Zarzis	1:2 penalties ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
04.04.26	Zarzis - Stade Tunisien	0:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
22.03.26	Zarzis - Korba	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
02.11.25	Zarzis - Marsa	AS Marsa awarded
16.04.17	Marsa - Zarzis	2:0
03.03.17	Zarzis - Marsa	3:2
21.02.16	Marsa - Zarzis	2:0
20.09.15	Zarzis - Marsa	0:0
05.04.15	Marsa - Zarzis	3:0
19.10.14	Zarzis - Marsa	1:1

Marsa - Zarzis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide