Match Info

Date: 23 February 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Marsala		Troina

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Marsala
35.7%

Draw
28.8%

Troina
35.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

20.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Troina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsala than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsala that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troina than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Troina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Marsala 1912
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.02.20	Castrovillari - Marsala	2:2
09.02.20	Marsala - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
02.02.20	Acireale - Marsala	2:1 ✺
26.01.20	Marsala - Savoia	0:2 ✺
19.01.20	Giugliano - Marsala	2:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLLL
- ASD Troina Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
09.02.20	Castrovillari - Troina	5:1 ✺
02.02.20	Troina - San Tommaso	0:1
26.01.20	Troina - Acireale	2:1 ✺
12.01.20	Troina - Giugliano	1:0
05.01.20	ACR Messina - Troina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWW

Marsala - Troina