The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castrovillari 34.2%
Draw 29.1%
Troina 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
29.6%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.1%
21.3%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrovillari's form might have worsened.
Troina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Troina's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+21.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrovillari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troina than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Troina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrovillari - Troina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Troina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Castrovillari won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.
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