Match Info

Date: 11 March 2022, Friday


	Marsaxlokk		San Ġwann

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.85
	2.14	3.3	2.8
	2.4	3.51	2.66
	2.24	3.4	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.02)	3.33 ↑ (3.19)	2.8 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsaxlokk
40.4%

Draw
27.2%

San Ġwann
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

20.1%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

San Ġwann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsaxlokk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ġwann than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Ġwann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marsaxlokk - San Ġwann Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 4 and 6).

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Marsaxlokk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marsaxlokk will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Marsaxlokk won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese Challenge League
06.03.22	Lija Athletic - Marsaxlokk	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Marsaxlokk - St. Georges	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Mqabba - Marsaxlokk	0:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
15.02.22	Pembroke Athleta - Marsaxlokk	0:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
12.02.22	Marsaxlokk - Pembroke Athleta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWWT
- San Ġwann FC
Maltese Challenge League
06.03.22	San Ġwann - Rabat Ajax	3:1 ✺
18.02.22	Melita - San Ġwann	0:2 ✺
13.02.22	San Ġwann - Vittoriosa Stars	3:2 ✺
04.02.22	Naxxar Lions - San Ġwann	0:3 ✺
29.01.22	San Ġwann - Zejtun Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
04.12.21	San Ġwann - Marsaxlokk	0:1
20.12.20	San Ġwann - Marsaxlokk	0:0

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