Match Info

Date: 18 February 2022, Friday


	Melita		San Ġwann

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.4
	2.55	3.2	2.36
	2.72	3.32	2.45
	2.62	3.42	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.32)	3.29 ↑ (3.2)	2.41 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melita
34.7%

Draw
27.6%

San Ġwann
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

20%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

San Ġwann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Ġwann's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melita than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melita that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ġwann than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Ġwann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Melita - San Ġwann Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 7).

Recent matches Melita is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Ġwann is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Ġwann could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Melita won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melita FC
Maltese Challenge League
11.02.22	Lija Athletic - Melita	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
08.02.22	Melita - St. Georges	1:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
05.02.22	Melita - St. Georges	3:0 ✺
29.01.22	Mqabba - Melita	3:2 ✺
20.01.22	Marsaxlokk - Melita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLW
- San Ġwann FC
Maltese Challenge League
13.02.22	San Ġwann - Vittoriosa Stars	3:2 ✺
04.02.22	Naxxar Lions - San Ġwann	0:3 ✺
29.01.22	San Ġwann - Zejtun Corinthians	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	San Ġwann - Lija Athletic	4:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
22.12.21	Naxxar Lions - San Ġwann	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
31.10.21	San Ġwann - Melita	0:0
19.12.17	San Ġwann - Melita	1:1

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