The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Martina Calcio 76.7%
Draw 16.6%
Acerrana 6.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
24.4%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
22.4%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Martina Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martina Calcio's performance.
Acerrana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Acerrana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martina Calcio than the current prediction. (-18.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martina Calcio that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acerrana than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Acerrana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Martina Calcio - Acerrana Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Piriz S. ⚽,
78', 1 - 1, Severino G. ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Martina has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Acerrana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Martina is the obvious favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Martina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Martina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Martina Calcio
6
4
0
2
12:7
5
12
Last Results with these Odds
Martina Calcio - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 53.33%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.