Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Acerrana		Barletta

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.7	1.62
	4.69	3.79	1.62	Watch
	4.68	3.64	1.64
	4.2	3.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (4.2)	3.73 ↓ (3.8)	1.64 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acerrana
20.1%

Draw
24.4%

Barletta
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

24%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

23.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acerrana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Barletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acerrana than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Acerrana - Barletta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Di Cuonzo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 0 - 2, ⚽,
58', 0 - 3, ⚽,
66', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Acerrana is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barletta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Barletta is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Acerrana 1926
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Pompei - Acerrana	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Acerrana - Francavilla	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sarnese - Acerrana	6:1 ✺
16.11.25	Acerrana - Fidelis Andria	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Virtus Francavilla - Acerrana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TWLLL
- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.12.25	Barletta - Heraclea	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Città di Fasano - Barletta	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Barletta - Nola	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Real Normanna - Barletta	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Martina Calcio - Barletta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTLWT

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