Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Sarnese		Acerrana

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.35	7.9
	1.56	3.87	5.18	Watch
	1.32	4.15	9.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)	4.12 ↑ (3.85)	7.59 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarnese
65.6%

Draw
22.3%

Acerrana
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.3%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

18.3%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarnese's performance.

Acerrana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Acerrana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarnese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acerrana than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Acerrana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sarnese - Acerrana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarnese (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Silvestro M. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Rajkovic M. ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, Addessi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 4 - 0, ⚽,
51', 🟥,
61', 5 - 0, ⚽,
65', 6 - 0, ⚽,
88', 6 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Sarnese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Acerrana has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Sarnese is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.11.25	Nola - Sarnese	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Sarnese - Heraclea	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gravina - Sarnese	5:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sarnese - Città di Fasano	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Paganese - Sarnese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLTL
- Acerrana 1926
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.11.25	Acerrana - Fidelis Andria	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Virtus Francavilla - Acerrana	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Nardo - Acerrana	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Acerrana - Afragolese	0:4 ✺
19.10.25	Nola - Acerrana	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Sarnese - Acerrana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide