Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Martos		Atlético Porcuna

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.92	3.15
	2.26	3.02	3.21
	2.26	2.97	3.24
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.23	2.94	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.18)	2.93 ↓ (2.94)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Martos
40.5%

Draw
31%

Atlético Porcuna
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

31%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Atlético Porcuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martos than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Martos - Atlético Porcuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Martos might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Martos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Martos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Atletico de Porcuna	5	2	0	3	6:14	-8	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martos CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
22.02.26	Torre Del Mar - Martos	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Martos - El Palo	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Martos - Alhaurino	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Torredonjimeno - Martos	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Martos - Granada B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLT
- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
22.02.26	Atlético Porcuna - Mijas-Las Lagunas	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Marbellí - Atlético Porcuna	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Arenas Armilla - Atlético Porcuna	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Porcuna - Churriana de la Vega	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Torreperogil - Atlético Porcuna	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.10.25	Atlético Porcuna - Martos	4:1
11.05.25	Martos - Atlético Porcuna	1:2
12.01.25	Atlético Porcuna - Martos	1:2

Martos - Atlético Porcuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide