Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Torreperogil		Atlético Porcuna

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.82	3.3
	2.21	2.98	3.34
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.17	2.94	3.33
	2.12	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.17)	2.93 ↓ (2.95)	3.3 (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreperogil
41.6%

Draw
31%

Atlético Porcuna
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreperogil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreperogil than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Torreperogil - Atlético Porcuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Romero A. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Ferrandez P. ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Romero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torreperogil won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Atlético Porcuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Torreperogil might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Torreperogil won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Torreperogil won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Atletico de Porcuna	5	2	0	3	6:14	-8	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Torreperogil
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
14.01.26	El Palo - Torreperogil	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Torreperogil - Torre Del Mar	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Torreperogil - UD San Pedro	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Alhaurino - Torreperogil	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Torreperogil - Torredonjimeno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWLL
- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.01.26	Atlético Porcuna - Motril	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Torre Del Mar - Atlético Porcuna	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Atlético Porcuna - El Palo	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	UD San Pedro - Atlético Porcuna	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Porcuna - Alhaurino	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
07.09.25	Atlético Porcuna - Torreperogil	3:0
23.02.25	Atlético Porcuna - Torreperogil	2:3
13.10.24	Torreperogil - Atlético Porcuna	2:0
16.04.23	Torreperogil - Atlético Porcuna	4:3
11.12.22	Atlético Porcuna - Torreperogil	0:0
09.04.22	Atlético Porcuna - Torreperogil	0:1
08.12.21	Torreperogil - Atlético Porcuna	0:0

Torreperogil - Atlético Porcuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide