Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Martos		Marbellí

	1	X	2
	3	2.92	2.28
	3.06	2.91	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.15)	2.92 ↑ (2.9)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martos
29.8%

Draw
31%

Marbellí
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

31.6%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

31.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The chances for Marbellí have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Martos - Marbellí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Ortiz P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Corral Tapia M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Martos is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marbellí has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Martos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martos CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.11.25	Mancha Real - Martos	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Martos - Arenas Armilla	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Churriana de la Vega - Martos	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Martos - Torreperogil	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Porcuna - Martos	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLWL
- FC Marbellí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.11.25	Marbellí - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Marbellí - Motril	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Mancha Real - Marbellí	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Marbellí - Arenas Armilla	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Churriana de la Vega - Marbellí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTWWL

Martos - Marbellí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide