Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Marbellí		Mijas-Las Lagunas

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.88	2.72
	2.62	2.8	2.88
	2.43	3.08	2.91	Watch
	2.57	2.78	2.75
	2.6	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.22)	2.93 ↓ (3.2)	2.76 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marbellí
35.8%

Draw
31.2%

Mijas-Las Lagunas
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.9%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marbellí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marbellí's form might have worsened.

Mijas-Las Lagunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbellí than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marbellí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Marbellí - Mijas Las Lagunas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Marcos ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Marbellí has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mijas-Las Lagunas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Marbellí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marbellí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Marbellí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.11.25	Marbellí - Motril	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Mancha Real - Marbellí	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Marbellí - Arenas Armilla	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Churriana de la Vega - Marbellí	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Marbellí - Torreperogil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWLT
- CP Mijas-Las Lagunas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.11.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Arenas Armilla - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Churriana de la Vega	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Torreperogil - Mijas-Las Lagunas	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Atlético Porcuna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
24.11.24	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Marbellí	1:2

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