Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Marília		Piracicaba

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Marília
43.6%

Draw
28.7%

Piracicaba
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Piracicaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marília than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-3.

Recent matches Marília is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Piracicaba is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marília will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Marília won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Marília won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marília AC
Brazilian Copa Paulista
08.10.22	Piracicaba - Marília	3:1 ✺
01.10.22	Marília - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
24.09.22	Portuguesa - Marília	2:2 ✺
18.09.22	Marília - EC Noroeste	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	EC Noroeste - Marília	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTWT
- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Copa Paulista
08.10.22	Piracicaba - Marília	3:1 ✺
01.10.22	Piracicaba - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
25.09.22	São Caetano - Piracicaba	1:0 ✺
16.09.22	Piracicaba - Água Santa	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Água Santa - Piracicaba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLWT

Brazilian Copa Paulista
08.10.22	Piracicaba - Marília	3:1
16.12.20	Piracicaba - Marília	1:0
13.12.20	Marília - Piracicaba	3:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
06.03.15	Marília - Piracicaba	1:1

Marília - Piracicaba