Match Info

Liga BPI Women - Round 8

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo da Imaculada Conceição (Funchal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Marítimo		Damaiense

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.35	2.58
	2.34	3.46	2.62
	2.36	3.49	2.65	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.35	3.32	2.59
	2.37	3.4	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.91)	3.35 ↓ (3.58)	2.62 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
38.4%

Draw
27%

Damaiense
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.7%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marítimo's form might have worsened.

Damaiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Damaiense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marítimo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damaiense than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Damaiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marítimo - Damaiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Panis N. (G) 20. Costa L. 10. Coutinho R. 11. Ferreira S. 4. Gabi Zidoi 3. Henrichs S. 2. Holtz J. 9. Nemtsov E. 7. Oliveira L. 5. Silva J. 25. Sisse F.	1. Lockwood A. (G) 11. Cartaxo S. 17. Cruz L. 14. Guns C. 23. Harris T. 10. Lidiane 88. Malta M. 12. Martinet L. 26. Parker S. 24. Queiroga I. 22. Rafael L.
Substitutes
14. Abreu C. 22. Ferreira C. 15. Freitas D. 13. Freitas I. 19. Goncalves L. 6. Nunes C. 16. Pestana L. 30. Santos B. (G) 17. Silva A.	30. Beckert C. 71. Brandao G. 18. Moreira I. 38. Nande L. 29. Nokuthula F. 3. Pinto J. 77. Torres M. (G) 9. Wabeua Djiatio D. D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Martinet L. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Coutinho R. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Cartaxo S. ⚽, Lidiane (A),
36', 2 - 2, Sisse F. ⚽, Panis N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Guns C. ↓, Wabeua Djiatio D. D. ↑,
54', 2 - 3, Martinet L. ⚽,
57', 3 - 3, Nemtsov E. ⚽, Silva J. (A),
70', Costa L. ↓, Freitas I. ↑,
80', Parker S. ↓, Nokuthula F. ↑,
81', Rafael L. ↓, Moreira I. ↑,
81', Coutinho R. ↓, Goncalves L. ↑,
88', Holtz J. ↓, Abreu C. ↑,
90+3', Lockwood A. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Liga BPI Women (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 4.

Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.

Marítimo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Marítimo has had a series of away games.

Recently, Damaiense has had a series of home games.

In this match, Marítimo is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
07.12.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
16.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Marítimo	4:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
08.11.25	Marítimo - Racing Power	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Benfica - Marítimo	5:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rio Ave - Marítimo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- SF Damaiense Women
Taça de Portugal Women
14.12.25	Damaiense - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
07.12.25	Damaiense - Valadares Gaia	1:3 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
16.11.25	Damaiense - Racing Power	0:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
09.11.25	Damaiense - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Damaiense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga BPI Women
02.02.25	Damaiense - Marítimo	0:2
29.09.24	Marítimo - Damaiense	2:1
24.03.24	Marítimo - Damaiense	1:4
19.11.23	Damaiense - Marítimo	1:3
05.03.23	Marítimo - Damaiense	3:1
23.10.22	Damaiense - Marítimo	3:1
06.12.20	Damaiense - Marítimo	0:3

Marítimo - Damaiense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide