Match Info

Liga BPI Women - Round 18

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo da Imaculada Conceição (Funchal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Marítimo		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.25	1.85
	3.82	3.36	1.88
	3.84	3.31	1.91	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.85
	3.72	3.42	1.85
	4.6	3.7	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↓ (4.6)	3.36 ↓ (3.7)	1.82 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
23.3%

Draw
27%

Valadares Gaia
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

24.3%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

22.5%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Valadares Gaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valadares Gaia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Marítimo - Valadares Gaia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Panis N. (G) 19. Goncalves L. 15. Freitas D. 4. Gabi Zidoi 5. Silva J. 13. Freitas I. 3. Henrichs S. 7. Oliveira L. 8. Radosavljevic J. 12. Costa E. (C) 9. Nemtsov E.	31. Seppi E. (C) 20. Duarte V. 27. Barge I. 30. Santos D. 77. Ferreira C. 6. Santos D. 7. Parkinson E. 16. Chauvet M. 10. Teles A. 13. Martinez M. 9. Lakip J.
Substitutes
14. Abreu C. 20. Costa L. 10. Coutinho R. 22. Ferreira C. 11. Ferreira S. 6. Nunes C. 30. Santos B. (G) 17. Silva A. 25. Sisse F.	1. Alves C. (G) 4. Aniwaa L. 42. Correia M. 8. Luis L. 2. Monteiro S. 11. Pereira E. 12. Presley C. 17. Silva I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Gabi Zidoi (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Freitas I. ↓, Coutinho R. ↑,
65', Oliveira L. ↓, Sisse F. ↑,
65', Costa E. 🟥,
69', Barge I. ↓, Monteiro S. ↑,
69', Lakip J. ↓, Pereira E. ↑,
79', Silva J. ↓, Ferreira C. ↑,
79', Nemtsov E. ↓, Abreu C. ↑,
86', Teles A. ↓, Silva I. ↑,
86', Martinez M. ↓, Correia M. ↑,
90+6', Parkinson E. ↓, Presley C. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Liga BPI Women (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Marítimo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Valadares Gaia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Valadares Gaia W	3	1	0	2	2:4	-2	3
10	Maritimo W	3	0	0	3	0:18	-18	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
03.05.26	Damaiense - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Racing Power - Marítimo	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Marítimo - Benfica	1:3 ✺
15.03.26	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Valadares Gaia Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
02.05.26	Valadares Gaia - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Valadares Gaia - Damaiense	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Valadares Gaia	1:1 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
28.03.26	Torreense - Valadares Gaia	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
21.03.26	Valadares Gaia - Racing Power	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portugal Taça de Liga Women
14.01.26	Valadares Gaia - Marítimo	6:0
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
10.01.26	Valadares Gaia - Marítimo	2:3
Taça de Portugal Women
07.01.26	Marítimo - Valadares Gaia	2:0
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
26.01.25	Valadares Gaia - Marítimo	3:1
20.10.24	Marítimo - Valadares Gaia	1:0
11.05.24	Marítimo - Valadares Gaia	0:2
06.03.24	Valadares Gaia - Marítimo	0:1

Marítimo - Valadares Gaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide