The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valadares Gaia 51.7%
Draw 25.6%
Racing Power 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
27.7%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
26.3%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Racing Power has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Power than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Valadares Gaia - Racing Power Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Seppi E. (C) 27. Barge I. 30. Santos D. 4. Aniwaa L. 20. Duarte V. 28. Silva J. 10. Teles A. 2. Monteiro S. 7. Parkinson E. 13. Martinez M. 42. Correia M.
13. Exposito N. (G) 70. Rosa M. 26. Nogueira A. 3. Duah S. 28. Ferreira M. 6. Gonzalez P. 10. Barboz M. 5. High S. N. 14. Haakenson M. 9. Worden L. 57. Goncalves I.
Substitutes
1. Alves C. (G) 78. Barbosa B. 77. Ferreira C. 9. Lakip J. 8. Luis L. 11. Pereira E. 6. Santos D. 17. Silva I. 14. Stone M.
12. Bento R. 17. Besugo N. 23. Ezekiel M. 21. Ferreira I. 38. Ferreira M. 1. Oliveira A. (G) 7. Pettet K. 8. Realista C. 25. Rodrigues B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Martinez M. ⚽, Santos D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rosa M. ↓, Ezekiel M. ↑,
55', 🟨,
58', Silva J. 🟥,
61', Barboz M. ↓, Besugo N. ↑,
63', Teles A. ↓, Stone M. ↑,
64', Correia M. ↓, Santos D. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Martinez M. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Ezekiel M. ⚽,
77', Duarte V. ↓, Barbosa B. ↑,
77', Parkinson E. ↓, Silva I. ↑,
77', Haakenson M. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
86', Ezekiel M. 🟨,
88', Martinez M. ↓, Lakip J. ↑,
90', Ferreira M. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valadares Gaia won 2.
Valadares Gaia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Racing Power is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Valadares Gaia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Valadares Gaia is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Valadares Gaia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Valadares Gaia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).