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Current Win Probability
Nasaf Qarshi 27.3%
Draw 28.3%
Neftchi Fargona 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.6%
26.9%
48.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.4%
26.7%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Nasaf Qarshi - Neftchi Fargona Predictions
Users Predictions:
Neftchi Fargona will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nematov A. (G) 2. Davronov A. 92. Eshmurodov U. 5. Gaybullaev G. 8. Abdirakhmatov Z. 15. Rustamov O. 14. Mukhitdinov S. 7. Shala A. 70. Gulomov A. 17. Rakhmatov M. 10. Abdikholikov B.
1. Ergashev B. (G) 34. Sayfiev F. 4. Ciger B. 20. Gofurov A. 15. Abduganiyev N. 52. Kouao K. 9. Giyosov K. 8. Jovovic V. 77. Ratinho 5. Alibaev I. 32. Marusic Z.
Substitutes
3. Abdusoliev M. 27. Berdirahmonov Y. 77. Ghudushauri P. 4. Komilov A. 82. Numonov A. (G) 20. Otubanjo Y. 18. Rahmatov B. 76. Sadullayev Z. 80. Usmonov D.
30. Fomin R. 7. Ismoilov A. 22. Odilov A. 18. Perica S. 2. Pulatov I. 71. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 21. Ubaydullaev M.
Coaches
Berdiev R.
Ismoilov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
5', Alibaev I. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Mukhitdinov S. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Abdikholikov B. ⚽, Mukhitdinov S. (A),
20', Rakhmatov M. ↓, Rahmatov B. ↑,
22', 3 - 0, Mukhitdinov S. ⚽, Shala A. (A),
40', 4 - 0, Shala A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Abduganiyev N. ↓, Odilov A. ↑,
53', 5 - 0, Abdikholikov B. ⚽,
56', Davronov A. 🟨,
58', 5 - 1, Odilov A. ⚽,
59', Marusic Z. ↓, Perica S. ↑,
59', Giyosov K. ↓, Ismoilov A. ↑,
69', Shala A. ↓, Berdirahmonov Y. ↑,
72', Gofurov A. 🟨,
78', Ratinho ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
78', Alibaev I. ↓, Ubaydullaev M. ↑,
80', 6 - 1, Davronov A. ⚽, Mukhitdinov S. (A),
87', Rustamov O. ↓, Sadullayev Z. ↑,
88', Gulomov A. ↓, Ghudushauri P. ↑,
90', 6 - 2, Perica S. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 1.
Nasaf is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Neftchi Fargona is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Nasaf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Nasaf won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 1.6:0.3).
Watch
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Nematov A. (G) 
Shala A. 
Ciger B. 
Kouao K. 
Jovovic V. 
Ratinho 
Ghudushauri P. 
Otubanjo Y. 
Perica S. 
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