Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 23

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Lake Tanganyika Stadium (Kigoma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Mashujaa		Simba

	1	X	2
	6.7	3.7	1.44
	7.8	3.83	1.36
	8.31	3.73	1.43	Watch
	8.5	3.6	1.36
	7.85	3.7	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.83 ↑ (7.28)	3.71 ↑ (3.7)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mashujaa
11.5%

Draw
24.3%

Simba
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

24.5%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

23.7%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mashujaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mashujaa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Mashujaa - Simba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Munthali P. (G) 8. Kihimbwa S. 27. Madeleke S. 13. Mgandila S. 66. Mgunda I. 7. Mohamed A. 6. Mtuwi B. 20. Mwakinyuke M. 4. Onditi S. 25. Salum M. 33. Yusuph K.	39. Tanja M. (G) 17. Chama C. 15. Duchu 7. Gueye L. 21. Kagoma Y. 32. Kibabage N. 10. Loemba I. 35. Maema N. 4. Masinde V. 34. Mpanzu E. 25. Toure O.
Substitutes
12. Abdallah S. 37. Bakari A. 11. Balama M. 67. Bwenzi S. 23. Dunia 14. Haji H. 18. Johola E. (G) 9. Juma H. 22. Mhagama C. 17. Vuai M.	28. Abel H. (G) 18. Abraham M. 30. Camara N. 36. Chasambi L. 8. Kante A. 63. Kibaila B. 5. Mligo A. 40. Mwalimu S. 20. Oura A. A. 37. Semfuko H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Chama C. ⚽,
44', Mgandila S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kihimbwa S. ↓, Mhagama C. ↑,
46', Mgandila S. ↓, Balama M. ↑,
46', Mtuwi B. ↓, Dunia ↑,
61', Loemba I. ↓, Oura A. A. ↑,
63', 🟨,
70', 0 - 2, Chama C. ⚽, Mpanzu E. (A),
75', Gueye L. ↓, Abraham M. ↑,
75', Kagoma Y. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
75', Mpanzu E. ↓, Mwalimu S. ↑,
80', Yusuph K. ↓, Vuai M. ↑,
80', Onditi S. ↓, Juma H. ↑,
83', Kibabage N. ↓, Mligo A. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Mashujaa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Simba is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Simba is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mashujaa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mashujaa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	11:2	9	18
8	Mashujaa	6	3	0	3	6:6	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mashujaa FC
Tanzanian Premier League
08.05.26	Namungo - Mashujaa	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Mashujaa - TRA United	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	Mbeya City - Mashujaa	0:0 ✺
16.04.26	Mashujaa - Singida Black Stars	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Mashujaa - Pamba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTTT
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
10.05.26	Simba - Prisons	4:0 ✺
06.05.26	Simba - JKT Tanzania	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Simba - Young Africans	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Namungo - Simba	3:0 ✺
15.04.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Simba	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
29.01.26	Simba - Mashujaa	2:0
02.05.25	Simba - Mashujaa	2:1
01.11.24	Mashujaa - Simba	0:1
15.03.24	Simba - Mashujaa	2:0
03.02.24	Mashujaa - Simba	0:1

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